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GLOBAL SUGAR MARKET PRICE

Updated: Mar 27, 2023

Sugar cane was introduced in Brazil in the sixteenth century in North Eastern Brazil and has adapted so well to the climate that today Brazil is the world's largest producer and exporter of sugar and ethanol produced from sugar cane. The central area of the State of São Paulo, which is precisely where the Farm Betel is located

The Brazilian Sugarcane Industry Association (UNICA) and the Brazilian Trade and Investment Promotion Agency (Apex-Brazil) developed this website to serve as a global information hub on sugarcane products and they are economic, environmental, and social benefits around the world. We are a large part in bringing the mills, producers, buyers, and investors from Brazil and the rest of the world.

Brazil sugar suppliers, Brazil sugar Suppliers, Brazil sugar Manufacturers are devoted to improving the conditions of the world's sugar market through Debate, Analysis, Special Studies, Transparent Statistics, Seminars, Conferences, and Workshops. The proactive attitude to include ethanol from sugar crops in our activities already in the mid-90s helped to promote the increasing role of biofuels in the future of energy-mix worldwide.


GLOBAL REFINED SUGAR MARKET PRICE 2022-23



TUCSON, ARIZ. — Analysts speaking at the International Sweetener Colloquium held Feb. 28 in Tucson painted a mostly bullish picture for domestic and global refined sugar market prices for the remainder of 2022 and for the 2022-23 marketing year that begins Oct. 1. Forecast refined sugar prices for 2022-23, which were being earnestly negotiated on the sidelines of the colloquium, were only moderately below current spot prices that are well above levels seen in most recent years.

Craig Ruffolo, vice president – commodity specialist, McKeany-Flavell Company Inc., said he expected refined beet prices to be around 36.5¢ a pound for 2022-23 and refined cane sugar prices around 46¢ a pound.

Frank Jenkins, president of JSG Commodities, said he expected both types of refined sugar to be “a couple of cents above that.”

Spot refined cane sugar currently is offered at 52¢ an lb f.o.b. in the Northeast and West Coast, up 24% from a year ago, while beet sugar is offered at around 42¢ an lb f.o.b. Midwest, up 15%. Current cane sugar prices are near the level that allows or even encourages, “high-tier” imports — imports of sugar from the world market that carry sizable duties that are meant to discourage imports above tariff-rate quota levels.

Current prices are high relative to the US Department of Agriculture’s 2021-22 forecast ending stocks-to-use ratio of 14.7%. The ratio in part reflects record-high 2021 beet sugar and total sugar production. The USDA unofficially maintains a ratio between 13.5% and 15.5%, with the lower end stipulated as the minimum under agreements suspending anti-dumping and counter veiling duties on sugar from Mexico. To get the ratio back to 13.5%, the USDA is expected to reduce Mexico’s export limit in the March WASDE.


2023 Global Sugar Market Prices

TUCSON, ARIZ. — Analysts speaking at the International Sweetener Colloquium held Feb. 28 in Tucson painted a mostly bullish picture for domestic and global sugar market prices for the remainder of 2022 and for the 2022-23 marketing year that begins Oct. 1. Forecast refined sugar prices for 2022-23, which were being earnestly negotiated on the sidelines of the colloquium, were only moderately below current spot prices that are well above levels seen in most recent years. Craig Ruffolo, vice president – commodity specialist, McKeany-Flavell Company Inc., said he expected refined beet prices to be around 36.5¢ a pound for 2022-23 and refined cane sugar prices around 46¢ a pound. Frank Jenkins, president of JSG Commodities, said he expected both types of refined sugar to be “a couple of cents above that.” Spot refined cane sugar currently is offered at 52¢ a pound f.o.b. in the Northeast and West Coast, up 24% from a year ago, while beet sugar is offered at around 42¢ a pound f.o.b. Midwest, up 15%. Current cane sugar prices are near the level that allows, or even encourages, “high-tier” imports — imports of sugar from the world market that carry sizable duties that are meant to discourage imports above tariff-rate quota levels.

Current prices are high relative to the US Department of Agriculture’s 2021-22 forecast ending stocks-to-use ratio of 14.7%. The ratio in part reflects record-high 2021 beet sugar and total sugar production. The USDA unofficially maintains a ratio between 13.5% and 15.5%, with the lower end stipulated as the minimum under agreements suspending anti-dumping and countervailing duties on sugar from Mexico. To get the ratio back to 13.5%, the USDA is expected to reduce Mexico’s export limit in the March WASDE. “Prices are completely unhinged from 13.5%,” Mr. Jenkins said. “Is it really relevant?” asked Mr. Ruffolo of the stocks-to-use ratio.

Despite the high stocks-to-use ratio, sugar supplies — especially of raw sugar used by some US refiners — have been tight, which in part has encouraged more imports of high-tier sugar. The USDA currently forecasts high-tier sugar imports in 2021-22 at 150,000 tons. Mr. Jenkins thinks they could be as high as 250,000 tons. As high-tier imports rise, imports from Mexico typically are reduced to keep the ratio closer to 13.5, thus also limiting raw imports for US refiners.

Another oddity in the current market is the 10¢-a-pound premium of refined cane sugar to beet sugar. That spread is typically closer to 2¢ a pound.

“The beet industry is doing its job,” Mr. Jenkins noted.

He sees part of the problem as the demand for cane sugar when cane supplies are tight.

“If users don’t shift from refined cane to beet, we will not get out of the widespread and high-tier imports,” he said.


While US sugar prices typically are minimally affected by the world sugar market because imports are limited under the sugar program of the farm bill and by the suspension agreements with Mexico, changes in world raw sugar prices currently have a greater impact because of high US sugar prices and the aforementioned high-tier imports. World raw sugar prices at 20¢ a pound would add 2½¢ to US refined sugar market prices, Mr. Jenkins said.

The analysts forecast New York world raw sugar prices at the end of 2022 to range from 18.5¢ to 20¢-plus per lb. The current nearby raw sugar price was 17.7¢ a pound on Feb. 28.


“The world has a continued appetite for sugar since it serves as raw material for most industries and is used in our day-to-day activities,” said Vincent O’Rourke, trader and market analyst, C. Czarnikow Sugar, Inc., who offered a generally bullish view of the world sugar market due to increasing global demand. “One or several origins need to step up to produce more sugar to meet demand going forward.”


At the same time, exports may decline in coming years, he said. World raw sugar prices need to be near 19¢ a pound to encourage exports from India, the world’s second-largest sugar producer, he said. Further, India is increasing its use of sugar to make ethanol to reduce dependence on oil imports, which will further reduce the sugar available for export.

However, the analysts did not expect Russia’s invasion of Ukraine to have a direct impact on global sugar market prices in 2023. There could be some indirect effect if demand for ethanol increases due to high crude oil prices caused by the war, they said. That could affect global sugar supply and prices in Brazil as well as corn-based ethanol in the United States. Although it was currently more profitable to export sugar than to make ethanol in Brazil, that could change quickly as oil prices continue to rise, Mr. O’Rourke said.


All these criteria make sugar prices increase. The main reason it is best to import sugar directly from Brazilian Sugar Exporters minimizing costs and get the best from Brazilian sugar companies.



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3 comentários


Sundaram Kuppan Gounder
Sundaram Kuppan Gounder
03 de dez. de 2023

Hi

Curtir
Nguyen Van Hai
Nguyen Van Hai
16 de out.
Respondendo a

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He will put you contact with genuine exporters of Sugar from Brazil

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